Thursday, December 26, 2019

Probabilities for Rolling Three Dice

Dice provide great illustrations for concepts in probability. The most commonly used dice are cubes with six sides. Here, we will see how to calculate probabilities for rolling three standard dice. It is a relatively standard problem to calculate the probability of the sum obtained by rolling two dice. There are a total of 36 different rolls with two dice, with any sum from 2 to 12 possible. How does the problem change if we add more dice? Possible Outcomes and Sums Just as one die has six outcomes and two dice have 62 36 outcomes, the probability experiment of rolling three dice has 63 216 outcomes. This idea generalizes further for more dice. If we roll n dice then there are 6n outcomes. We can also consider the possible sums from rolling several dice. The smallest possible sum occurs when all of the dice are the smallest, or one each. This gives a sum of three when we are rolling three dice. The greatest number on a die is six, which means that the greatest possible sum occurs when all three dice are sixes. The sum of this situation is 18. When n dice are rolled, the least possible sum is n and the greatest possible sum is 6n. There is one possible way three dice can total 33 ways for 46 for 510 for 615 for 721 for 825 for 927 for 1027 for 1125 for 1221 for 1315 for 1410 for 156 for 163 for 171 for 18 Forming Sums As discussed above, for three dice the possible sums include every number from three to 18. The probabilities can be calculated by using counting strategies and recognizing that we are looking for ways to partition a number into exactly three whole numbers. For example, the only way to obtain a sum of three is 3 1 1 1. Since each die is independent from the others, a sum such as four can be obtained in three different ways: 1 1 21 2 12 1 1 Further counting arguments can be used to find the number of ways of forming the other sums. The partitions for each sum follow: 3 1 1 14 1 1 25 1 1 3 2 2 16 1 1 4 1 2 3 2 2 27 1 1 5 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 2 48 1 1 6 2 3 3 4 3 1 1 2 5 2 2 49 6 2 1 4 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 5 1 3 5 1 4 410 6 3 1 6 2 2 5 3 2 4 4 2 4 3 3 1 4 511 6 4 1 1 5 5 5 4 2 3 3 5 4 3 4 6 3 212 6 5 1 4 3 5 4 4 4 5 2 5 6 4 2 6 3 313 6 6 1 5 4 4 3 4 6 6 5 2 5 5 314 6 6 2 5 5 4 4 4 6 6 5 315 6 6 3 6 5 4 5 5 516 6 6 4 5 5 617 6 6 518 6 6 6 When three different numbers form the partition, such as 7 1 2 4, there are 3!  (3x2x1) different ways of permuting these numbers. So this would count toward three outcomes in the sample space. When two different numbers form the partition, then there are three different ways of permuting these numbers. Specific Probabilities We divide the total number of ways to obtain each sum by the total number of outcomes in the sample space, or 216. The results are: Probability of a sum of 3: 1/216 0.5%Probability of a sum of 4: 3/216 1.4%Probability of a sum of 5: 6/216 2.8%Probability of a sum of 6: 10/216 4.6%Probability of a sum of 7: 15/216 7.0%Probability of a sum of 8: 21/216 9.7%Probability of a sum of 9: 25/216 11.6%Probability of a sum of 10: 27/216 12.5%Probability of a sum of 11: 27/216 12.5%Probability of a sum of 12: 25/216 11.6%Probability of a sum of 13: 21/216 9.7%Probability of a sum of 14: 15/216 7.0%Probability of a sum of 15: 10/216 4.6%Probability of a sum of 16: 6/216 2.8%Probability of a sum of 17: 3/216 1.4%Probability of a sum of 18: 1/216 0.5% As can be seen, the extreme values of 3 and 18 are least probable. The sums that are exactly in the middle are the most probable. This corresponds to what was observed when two dice were rolled.

Wednesday, December 18, 2019

French New Wave and Poetic Realism Essay - 1120 Words

Since the very first actualities from the Lumià ¨re brothers and the fantastical shorts of Maries Georges Jean Mà ©lià ¨s, cinema has continually fulfilled its fundamental purpose of artistic reflection on societal contexts throughout the evolution of film. Two French cinematic movements, Poetic Realism (1934-1940) and French New Wave (1950-1970), serve as historical bookends to World War II, one of the most traumatic events in world history. The Rules of the Game (Jean Renoir, 1939) is a classic example of French Poetic realism that depicts the disillusionment in society and government politics by a generation already traumatized by the monumental loss of human life during the First World War. Breathless (Jean Luc Godard, 1960), one of Jean†¦show more content†¦Renoir exemplifies what Andre Bazin refers to as a director with faith in reality. In his essay â€Å"Evolution of the Language of Cinema†, Bazin contrasts the heavy editing and choppy style of the Soviet m ontage tradition with Renoir who â€Å"uncovered the secret of a film form that would permit everything to be said without chopping the world up into little fragments, that would reveal the hidden meaning in people and things without disturbing the unity natural to them† (38). Realism, in this sense, means showing long continuous shots without manipulation through editing and cross cutting--- to tell a story in the same form as if it were unfolding in the real world. Renoir plays with the idea of the formative and imaginary â€Å"farce† of the societal world by staging these formative traditions within the editing conventions of realism. This integration of a lyrical and poetic story within the poignant critique of a dark reality can be seen during the hunting scene, which intersperses documentary style footage of animals throughout. 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Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Analysis of Prices of Holden Commodore from Queensland State

Question: Discuss about the Analysis of Prices of Holden Commodore (6 cylinders) from Queensland State. Answer: Introduction I understand that you wish to purchase a 2 to 3-year-old car. Hence, I have analysed the prices of Holden Commodore (6 cylinders) from Queensland State. Primarily the data consisted of the Age of the cars, Odometers, transmission, type of seller and colour and price of the cars. Since, you wished to purchase a car of 2 to 3-year-old car hence the prices of older and newer cars have not been analysed. Prices of other cars from different states were also collected. I have analysed only sample 7. There were a total of 40 cars which were 2 to 3-year-old car. Distribution of the price range of the cars shows that the maximum number of cars are in the range of $24500 26700 (figure 1). In addition, the prices of the cars is normally distributed. The average prices of cars is $25,710 with a standard deviation of $3,962. The minimum and maximum price of the cars is $17,900 and $32,990. Hence, the car prices have a range of $15,090. Further, the analysis of the data shows that 25% of the cars which are 2 to 3-years old have a price below or equal to $22,987. Similarly, 25% of the cars have a price are more than or equal to $28,840. in addition, 50% of the cars are below $25,990. The mean prices of the cars is below the median price. Moreover, from the analysis it is found that the minimum and maximum price of a 2-year-old car is $18,500 and $32,990 respectively. The average price of a 2-year-old car is $27,636. All 2-year-old cars have an automatic transmission and are sold by a dealer. Further, the analysis shows that the minimum and maximum price of a 3-year-old car is $17,900 and $28,990 respectively. The average price of a 3-year-old car is $23,105. The minimum and maximum prices of 3-year-old cars with automatic transmission are $17,900 and $28,990 respectively. The average price of an automatic transmission 3-year-old car is $22,833. The minimum and maximum prices of 3-year-old cars with manual transmission are $21,500 and $28,790 respectively. The average price of manual transmission 3-year-old car is $25,145. Figure 1: Distribution of the price Range Table 1: Descriptive Statistics of the prices of Cars Descriptive Statistics Mean $ 25,710 Standard Deviation $ 3,962 Minimum $ 17,900 Maximum $ 32,990 Range $ 15,090 Median $ 25,990 1st Quartile $ 22,987 3rd Quartile $ 28,840 IQR $ 5,853 Skewness -0.21 Sum $10,28,410 Count 40 Cars Min Max Average 2 18500 32990 27636 Automatic 18500 32990 27636 Dealer 18500 32990 27636 No 23800 31995 27552 Yes 18500 32990 27766 3 17900 28990 23105 Automatic 17900 28990 22833 Dealer 18250 28990 23217 No 19895 26988 22830 Yes 18250 28990 23758 Private 17900 24000 21300 No 22000 24000 23000 Yes 17900 17900 17900 Manual 21500 28790 25145 Dealer 21500 28790 25145 No 21500 21500 21500 Yes 28790 28790 28790 Grand Total 17900 32990 25710.25

Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Extempo Speech Essay Example

Extempo Speech Essay As student, explain the value and relevance of this years theme In our present time. There is no greater solution to whats happening in our country today than to be united in one cause. The fact that we are gathered together in this great hall with the hope alleviating and educating ourselves on disaster risk management and reduction is a part of that solution. I may be young and innocent but innocence is different from ignorance. There is no valid point in arguing whether one contestant in this competition excels the most, the fact that we are here today, to stand before you all and give our speech on how to mitigate disasters is a win-win solution not Just for myself or everyone around here but for our community. In the recent years, our country has been plagued by typhoons, earthquakes, and other natural hazards. But it Is Important to keep In mind that disasters are not natural, they only occur when people lack preparedness or the ability to cope with hazards. We will write a custom essay sample on Extempo Speech specifically for you for only $16.38 $13.9/page Order now We will write a custom essay sample on Extempo Speech specifically for you FOR ONLY $16.38 $13.9/page Hire Writer We will write a custom essay sample on Extempo Speech specifically for you FOR ONLY $16.38 $13.9/page Hire Writer According to the united Nations, disasters Imposed large humanitarian and developmental challenges, the frequency and severity of disasters increased over the last few years due to climate change. According to them, 226 Million people are affected by these hazards every year and in 2000-2010 almost 680,000 people died on earthquakes due to poorly constructed buildings. Now, these facts merely illustrated the difference between vulnerability and our capacity to cope if these tragedies happened. According to I-IN, a school in Japan saved hundreds of students merely because their alluding was constructed to withstand the most tragic disaster to hit the country in 2011. These are but an evidence of how knowledge on disaster preparedness Is able to minimize the damage a natural hazard can cause. This years theme on National Disaster Consciousness Month explained that without disaster preparedness and the awareness of disaster prevention one society cannot simply move on or better yet progress. According to the National government in 2005 alone typhoons cost $12-1 ban of damage and will cost 5% of GAP. Our economy cannot smoothly allocate resources and budget if we are going to be hit again by these hazards not only will our economy suffer but the very lives of every Filipino people. International Red Cross Society has already declared the Philippines as the 4th Most Accident Prone Country in the world and in the last ten years alone we have already sacrificed million people. As a student, I can only understand that the tragedy is not found only in the midst of a devastating typhoon but to the poor preparations our communities have undergone to mitigate the damages. We need to act now, be willing to be educated on disaster preparedness and reduction. Knowledge Is power and In unity comes greater strength. We need to understand the fundamentals of this information on how to lessen and avoid damages to our communities. The National Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council has already mapped out the areas that are prone to dangerous zone. People should be willing to be trained by different international and government agencies on how to act when disaster strikes. Drills have already been in progress since 2000 on earthquakes, typhoon, flood, fire to prepare communities to be self-resilient. For our communities to prosper, we should stand out this turmoil that we are in right now and be united to stand in one cause.